Data
Deaths from wildfire smoke, world
Deaths each year worldwide from breathing fine particles (PM2.5) in the smoke of fires, 2003–2024, as modelled by the Lancet Countdown (indicator 1.2.1). It counts all fire smoke: the share caused by climate change is not attributed.
Latest value
153,719deaths
World, 2024. Version 2025 report.
Deaths from wildfire smoke, world (deaths)
Deaths from wildfire smoke, world (deaths)
Show as a table
| Period | Value (deaths) | Status |
|---|---|---|
| 2003 | 120,418 | final |
| 2004 | 96,114 | final |
| 2005 | 105,282 | final |
| 2006 | 108,679 | final |
| 2007 | 127,756 | final |
| 2008 | 117,850 | final |
| 2009 | 107,523 | final |
| 2010 | 116,486 | final |
| 2011 | 110,982 | final |
| 2012 | 119,734 | final |
| 2013 | 98,053 | final |
| 2014 | 130,608 | final |
| 2015 | 124,228 | final |
| 2016 | 115,026 | final |
| 2017 | 117,831 | final |
| 2018 | 110,833 | final |
| 2019 | 112,028 | final |
| 2020 | 131,994 | final |
| 2021 | 130,133 | final |
| 2022 | 94,458 | final |
| 2023 | 147,643 | final |
| 2024 | 153,719 | final |
Lancet Countdown on Health and Climate Change, 2025 report data: indicator 1.1.1 by A. J. Pershing and J. Giguere (attributable heatwave days) and by F. Tartarini and O. Jay (vulnerable populations); indicator 1.1.3 by C. Freyberg, B. Lemke and M. Otto; indicator 1.1.5 by J. Ballester, X. Basagaña and J. Ruiz-Cabrejos; indicator 1.2.1 by R. Hänninen, M. Sofiev and R. Kouznetsov; indicator 1.2.2 by M. Romanello and M. Walawender; indicator 1.2.3 by K. Minor and N. Obradovich; indicator 3.2.1 by G. Kiesewetter and S. Zhang. Romanello et al., The Lancet, 2025, doi:10.1016/S0140-6736(25)01919-1. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Where it comes from
- Producer
- Lancet Countdown on Health and Climate Change (led by University College London) · Lancet Countdown 2025: heat, wildfire smoke, drought, extreme rain and deaths from air pollution
- Version
- 2025 report
- Fetched
- 2026-10-12 (automatically), 294,227 bytes
- Fingerprint
- sha256 1cf07d2a285a07cea1b1bfc3d5545a99ba83dcbf362e50377a6a9f48e7d21e7dETag "47d53-6425ae1cf3f13" · Last-Modified Thu, 30 Oct 2025 07:06:03 GMT
- Cite the producer
- Romanello M, Walawender M, Hsu S-C, et al. The 2025 report of the Lancet Countdown on health and climate change. Lancet 2025; published online Oct 29. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0140-6736(25)01919-1.
What was done to it
Read the Mortality column (deaths due to fire-originated PM2.5) of the sheet '2025 Report Data_Global' of the indicator 1.2.1 (fire smoke, mortality) workbook of the Lancet Countdown 2025 report, one value a year 2003–2024. Values are published as in the workbook (modelled deaths, not whole numbers).
Code: pipeline/src/envdash/transforms/impacts/lancet_countdown.py · code sha256 fecaf0b937e79c60… · inputs 1cf07d2a285a…
What it covers
- Geography
- World
- Basis
- Modelled, not counted: daily fire PM2.5 from the SILAM chemistry transport model driven by MODIS fire radiative power (a fire hidden by cloud, or too small, is missed), and deaths from the FUSION exposure–response model as the difference between results with and without fires (code by A. Pozzer), with Global Burden of Disease baseline mortality and GPWv4 population.
- Unit
- deaths (deaths)