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Extra cost of near-zero emissions steel in 2035, per tonne (IEA)

How much more the IEA expects it to cost to produce a tonne of near-zero emissions iron-based steel (made with hydrogen) than a tonne of conventional steel in 2035 under today's policies, without targeted policy support: USD 125 to 600 per tonne of crude steel, depending on the region.

Latest value

125USD/t crude steel

World (range across regions), 2035 (projection). Version Energy Technology Perspectives 2026 (IEA, March 2026; revised April and July 2026).

As published

“Near-zero emissions steel is more expensive than conventional. This is especially true for iron-based steel, where levelised costs of production in 2035 are expected to be about 20-145% higher (USD 125-600 per tonne of crude steel) in the STEPS, in the absence of targeted policy support or significant scale-up.”

Energy Technology Perspectives 2026, Chapter 3, near-zero emissions steel dashboard, p. 139. Checked word for word against the stored copy of the document every time the data is rebuilt.

Every value

Extra cost of near-zero emissions steel in 2035, per tonne (IEA), every published value
End of the stated rangePeriodValue (USD/t crude steel)Status
Low endChapter 3, near-zero emissions steel dashboard, p. 139: "Near-zero emissions steel is more expensive than conventional. This is especially true for iron-based steel, where levelised costs of production in 2035 are expected to be about 20-145% higher (USD 125-600 per tonne of crude steel) in the STEPS, in the absence of targeted policy support or significant scale-up."2035125projection
High endChapter 3, near-zero emissions steel dashboard, p. 139: "Near-zero emissions steel is more expensive than conventional. This is especially true for iron-based steel, where levelised costs of production in 2035 are expected to be about 20-145% higher (USD 125-600 per tonne of crude steel) in the STEPS, in the absence of targeted policy support or significant scale-up."2035600projection

Where it comes from

Producer
International Energy Agency · Energy Technology Perspectives 2026
Version
Energy Technology Perspectives 2026 (IEA, March 2026; revised April and July 2026)
Fetched
2026-10-08 (automatically), 33,223,886 bytes
Fingerprint
sha256 c4880aa007fcb05e771e75c21ec48ad8038e98570a0d4ab554440d14232c095bETag 0x8DED777A5D3C271 · Last-Modified Wed, 01 Jul 2026 13:50:01 GMT
Copies
No Wayback copy recorded yet.
Cite the producer
IEA 2026; Energy Technology Perspectives 2026, https://www.iea.org/reports/energy-technology-perspectives-2026, License: CC BY 4.0

What was done to it

  1. Read the text of the PDF (sha256 c4880aa007fc…). Found each of the 1 quoted statement(s) word for word on PDF page(s) 139, and the 2 context sentence(s) the scope relies on, before publishing.

    Code: pipeline/src/envdash/transforms/action/green_premium.py · code sha256 c2e591e4a0510a3d… · inputs c4880aa007fc…

  2. Published each number exactly as printed, with its statement in the value's note. A range 'A-B%' is published as its low end A and high end B (dimension 'bound'); nothing was computed, rounded or combined with any other source.

    Code: pipeline/src/envdash/transforms/action/green_premium.py · code sha256 c2e591e4a0510a3d… · inputs c4880aa007fc…

What it covers

Geography
World (range across regions)
Basis
Levelised cost of producing iron-based steel in 2035 in the IEA's Stated Policies Scenario (STEPS): hydrogen direct reduced iron with an electric arc furnace, compared with blast furnace-basic oxygen furnace and natural gas DRI production, region by region; the range runs from lower- to higher-cost regions. Excludes explicit policy support such as carbon pricing or subsidies (method note, p. 162). Projection. Real 2024 US dollars at market exchange rates (the report's convention, p. 32).
Unit
US dollars (2024) per tonne of crude steel (USD/t crude steel)