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How many times adaptation needs exceed international public adaptation finance

UNEP's comparison of what developing countries will need each year by 2035 to adapt with the international public adaptation finance they received in 2023: needs are 12 to 14 times the flows, as printed in the report.

Latest value

12×

Developing countries, as grouped by UNEP's Adaptation Gap Report 2025, 2035 (projection). Version Adaptation Gap Report 2025: Running on empty.

As published

“The estimated future costs/needs are approximately 12–14 times as much as international public flows.”

Adaptation Gap Report 2025: Running on empty, Chapter 4, key messages, p. 40. Checked word for word against the stored copy of the document every time the data is rebuilt.

Every value

How many times adaptation needs exceed international public adaptation finance, every published value
End of the printed rangePeriodValue (×)Status
Low end203512projection
High end203514projection

Where it comes from

Producer
United Nations Environment Programme (UNEP) · Adaptation Gap Report 2025: Running on empty
Version
Adaptation Gap Report 2025: Running on empty
Fetched
2026-10-08 (by a person), 15,336,689 bytes
Fingerprint
sha256 7aae2efd6169f64163c6e4624df3d0b1754a9ba26493cc0060b77420e73f79cf
Copies
No Wayback copy recorded yet.
Cite the producer
United Nations Environment Programme (2025). Adaptation Gap Report 2025: Running on empty. The world is gearing up for climate resilience — without the money to get there [Neufeldt, H., Hammill, A., Leiter, T., Magnan, A., Watkiss, P., Bakhtiari, F., Bueno Rubial, P., Butera, B., Canales, N., Chapagain, D., Christiansen, L., Dale, T., Milford, F., Niles, K., Njuguna, L., Pauw, P., Singh, C. and Yang, G.]. Nairobi. https://wedocs.unep.org/20.500.11822/48798.

What was done to it

  1. Read the text of UNEP's report PDF (sha256 7aae2efd6169…, downloaded by hand from UNEP's repository; see the snapshot note) and found these sentences, each with its value as printed, on PDF p. 13 (printed xiii), PDF p. 58 (printed 40), PDF p. 68 (printed 50) before publishing: "The estimated future costs/needs are approximately 12–14 times as much as international public flows." "with needs that are 12–14 times as much as current finance flows" "Note that the gap would fall to 10–12 times as much if mobilized private adaptation sector flows from international public finance were included."

    Code: pipeline/src/envdash/transforms/action/unep_agr.py · code sha256 32f786101fdd546f… · inputs 7aae2efd6169…

  2. Published the range "12–14 times" as its two ends, 12 and 14, as printed. The report compares adaptation costs and needs by 2035 with international public adaptation finance in 2023; it says the ratio would be "10–12 times" as much if private finance mobilised from international public finance were included (p. 50, note 12), which is not published here.

    Code: pipeline/src/envdash/transforms/action/unep_agr.py · code sha256 32f786101fdd546f… · inputs 7aae2efd6169…

What it covers

Geography
Developing countries, as grouped by UNEP's Adaptation Gap Report 2025
Basis
Annual adaptation costs and finance needs by 2035 (constant 2023 prices) divided by international public adaptation finance flows in 2023, as stated by UNEP; private finance mobilised is not included.
Unit
times as much as international public flows (×)