Data

Days a year at 35 °C or more by country, projected for 20-year windows to 2099 (CMIP6, World Bank CCKP)

Name: Days a year at 35 °C or more by country, projected for 20-year windows to 2099 (CMIP6, World Bank CCKP)
License: https://www.worldbank.org/ext/en/legal/terms-conditions/datasets

Days a year at 35 °C or more, 1995–2014 as the models simulate it and projected for 2020–2039, 2040–2059, 2060–2079 and 2080–2099 under low, middle and very high emissions, for every country and territory, from the CMIP6 climate models as bias-corrected, downscaled and aggregated by the World Bank's Climate Change Knowledge Portal. Each value is averaged over the land of the place, not weighted by where people live. The value is the median of the models and the range runs from the 10th to the 90th percentile of the models. The 1995–2014 values are the models' simulation of the recent past, not observations.

Latest value

110days

Each country or territory as drawn by the World Bank's official boundaries: the area-weighted mean of the 0.25° grid cells inside it, averaged over the land, not weighted by where people live. No world value., 2080–2099 (projection). Version cmip6-x0.25 hd35 climatology, fetched 2026-10-16.

Days a year at 35 °C or more by country, projected for 20-year windows to 2099 (CMIP6, World Bank CCKP) (days a year with a daily maximum temperature of 35 °C or more)

13 values from 1995–2014 to 2080–2099. Lines: Model simulation of 1995–2014, not observations, SSP1-2.6, low emissions, SSP2-4.5, middle emissions, SSP5-8.5, very high emissions. The shaded band is the uncertainty range the producer gives.

Show as a table

Days a year at 35 °C or more by country, projected for 20-year windows to 2099 (CMIP6, World Bank CCKP), every value
Period	Emissions scenario	Value (days)	Range	Status
1995/2014	Model simulation of 1995–2014, not observations	78	70 to 85	final
2020/2039	SSP1-2.6, low emissions	86	73 to 99	projection
2040/2059	SSP1-2.6, low emissions	93	79 to 110	projection
2060/2079	SSP1-2.6, low emissions	97	79 to 117	projection
2080/2099	SSP1-2.6, low emissions	97	79 to 119	projection
2020/2039	SSP2-4.5, middle emissions	85	71 to 98	projection
2040/2059	SSP2-4.5, middle emissions	95	78 to 113	projection
2060/2079	SSP2-4.5, middle emissions	102	84 to 126	projection
2080/2099	SSP2-4.5, middle emissions	110	87 to 139	projection
2020/2039	SSP5-8.5, very high emissions	86	70 to 99	projection
2040/2059	SSP5-8.5, very high emissions	102	82 to 125	projection
2060/2079	SSP5-8.5, very high emissions	123	94 to 162	projection
2080/2099	SSP5-8.5, very high emissions	153	109 to 214	projection

The World Bank: Climate Change Knowledge Portal: Observed Climate Data, ERA5 0.25-Degree (doi:10.57966/128g-6s70): Copernicus Climate Change Service ERA5. The World Bank: Climate Change Knowledge Portal: Projected Climate Data, CMIP6 0.25-Degree (doi:10.57966/b54h-7s87): CMIP6 multi-model ensemble (World Climate Research Programme). CC BY 4.0 with the World Bank Dataset Terms.

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Fetched: 2026-10-16 (automatically), 111,262 bytes
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Fetched: 2026-10-16 (automatically), 109,861 bytes
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Fetched: 2026-10-16 (automatically), 108,831 bytes
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Fetched: 2026-10-16 (automatically), 110,989 bytes
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Fetched: 2026-10-16 (automatically), 111,002 bytes
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Fetched: 2026-10-16 (automatically), 109,549 bytes
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Fetched: 2026-10-16 (automatically), 112,200 bytes
Fingerprint: sha256 cc31f581466f064e5488c6486bc23290f1635ce16d3d853b27abd6408fdcce7f
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Fetched: 2026-10-16 (automatically), 112,202 bytes
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Cite the producer: Climate Change Knowledge Portal: Observed Climate Data, ERA5 0.25-Degree, DOI: https://doi.org/10.57966/128g-6s70. Climate Change Knowledge Portal: Projected Climate Data, CMIP6 0.25-Degree. DOI: https://doi.org/10.57966/b54h-7s87

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File: https://cckpapi.worldbank.org/cckp/v1/cmip6-x0.25_climatology_hd35_climatology_annual_2060-2079_p10_ssp585_ensemble_all_mean/all_countries_subnationals?_format=json
Fetched: 2026-10-16 (automatically), 110,581 bytes
Fingerprint: sha256 21d856daf2da8bcd820e3ca2a5b37becd20518e86cee75e2ea008e5a7782f5e0
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Fetched: 2026-10-16 (automatically), 113,431 bytes
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Producer: World Bank Group · Climate Change Knowledge Portal country climate data
Version: cmip6-x0.25 hd35 climatology, fetched 2026-10-16
File: https://cckpapi.worldbank.org/cckp/v1/cmip6-x0.25_climatology_hd35_climatology_annual_2080-2099_median_ssp585_ensemble_all_mean/all_countries_subnationals?_format=json
Fetched: 2026-10-16 (automatically), 113,396 bytes
Fingerprint: sha256 a9fb37c3ae8dc0da6aa8889c3766f29a743ac0bef45daca6a0aee33c21df9510
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Fetched: 2026-10-16 (automatically), 111,453 bytes
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Cite the producer: Climate Change Knowledge Portal: Observed Climate Data, ERA5 0.25-Degree, DOI: https://doi.org/10.57966/128g-6s70. Climate Change Knowledge Portal: Projected Climate Data, CMIP6 0.25-Degree. DOI: https://doi.org/10.57966/b54h-7s87

Producer: World Bank Group · Climate Change Knowledge Portal country climate data
Version: cmip6-x0.25 hd35 climatology, fetched 2026-10-16
File: https://cckpapi.worldbank.org/cckp/v1/cmip6-x0.25_climatology_hd35_climatology_annual_2080-2099_p90_ssp585_ensemble_all_mean/all_countries_subnationals?_format=json
Fetched: 2026-10-16 (automatically), 114,737 bytes
Fingerprint: sha256 27deb839230fbe7055919684696ad309c003c3ecb879b2b4a0ff6b4bfa8cd5d0
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Cite the producer: Climate Change Knowledge Portal: Observed Climate Data, ERA5 0.25-Degree, DOI: https://doi.org/10.57966/128g-6s70. Climate Change Knowledge Portal: Projected Climate Data, CMIP6 0.25-Degree. DOI: https://doi.org/10.57966/b54h-7s87

What was done to it

Read CCKP's 39 CMIP6 0.25° all_countries_subnationals files of hd35 (climatology): the multi-model ensemble median, 10th and 90th percentiles for the 1995–2014 historical runs and 2020–2039, 2040–2059, 2060–2079 and 2080–2099 under SSP1-2.6, SSP2-4.5 and SSP5-8.5. Every file holds the same 246 countries and 3,527 regions.
Code: pipeline/src/envdash/transforms/future/cckp_projections.py · code sha256 5c4361ac9b2983cd… · inputs 238acfa0f6cc… 27d4dc3ea464… 0afe77b931df… 56022c113996… 505676dadad8… 94eff9467808… 516adc8762dc… 397158997093… 39bb32f21141… ec1d22b7bb74… 3fcfb219382b… 19ad6e69cc7a… c94680628135… 50fa750291db… 27eba0601e5f… eedb4c59f99c… a9cbac7afe9b… f72ea5466ca1… 323022b77035… 72d49d46ff9c… 0fa72500fc7f… 3d567e4da3d6… 89adbd081f83… 0782f946d5c8… 5f1647fad5d5… 7dce728a722e… 4ee036f8d093… 273f2fd3a463… ae4f4224e0f1… 66f066d67ff2… f4d48cbc13d4… 0f62fd33116e… cc31f581466f… 291585a538af… 21d856daf2da… ce313d844627… a9fb37c3ae8d… 41b8785890db… 27deb839230f…
Checked every country's value against its own regions' values in the same file: within the lowest and highest region (±0.01, rounding), or equal to its one region. It holds for every country in every file.
Code: pipeline/src/envdash/transforms/future/cckp_projections.py · code sha256 5c4361ac9b2983cd… · inputs 238acfa0f6cc… 27d4dc3ea464… 0afe77b931df… 56022c113996… 505676dadad8… 94eff9467808… 516adc8762dc… 397158997093… 39bb32f21141… ec1d22b7bb74… 3fcfb219382b… 19ad6e69cc7a… c94680628135… 50fa750291db… 27eba0601e5f… eedb4c59f99c… a9cbac7afe9b… f72ea5466ca1… 323022b77035… 72d49d46ff9c… 0fa72500fc7f… 3d567e4da3d6… 89adbd081f83… 0782f946d5c8… 5f1647fad5d5… 7dce728a722e… 4ee036f8d093… 273f2fd3a463… ae4f4224e0f1… 66f066d67ff2… f4d48cbc13d4… 0f62fd33116e… cc31f581466f… 291585a538af… 21d856daf2da… ce313d844627… a9fb37c3ae8d… 41b8785890db… 27deb839230f…
Published every country and territory (246), mapping CCKP's codes to the site's entities (ISO 3166-1 alpha-3 codes as they are, KSV, CCKP's code for Kosovo, as KOS): the median as the value and the 10th and 90th percentiles as the range, as printed, with the 20-year window as the period and the emissions scenario as a dimension.
Code: pipeline/src/envdash/transforms/future/cckp_projections.py · code sha256 5c4361ac9b2983cd… · inputs 238acfa0f6cc… 27d4dc3ea464… 0afe77b931df… 56022c113996… 505676dadad8… 94eff9467808… 516adc8762dc… 397158997093… 39bb32f21141… ec1d22b7bb74… 3fcfb219382b… 19ad6e69cc7a… c94680628135… 50fa750291db… 27eba0601e5f… eedb4c59f99c… a9cbac7afe9b… f72ea5466ca1… 323022b77035… 72d49d46ff9c… 0fa72500fc7f… 3d567e4da3d6… 89adbd081f83… 0782f946d5c8… 5f1647fad5d5… 7dce728a722e… 4ee036f8d093… 273f2fd3a463… ae4f4224e0f1… 66f066d67ff2… f4d48cbc13d4… 0f62fd33116e… cc31f581466f… 291585a538af… 21d856daf2da… ce313d844627… a9fb37c3ae8d… 41b8785890db… 27deb839230f…

What it covers

Geography: Each country or territory as drawn by the World Bank's official boundaries: the area-weighted mean of the 0.25° grid cells inside it, averaged over the land, not weighted by where people live. No world value.
Basis: CMIP6 multi-model ensemble (bias-corrected and downscaled to 0.25° by CCKP): the median of the models, with their 10th–90th percentile as the range. Days with a daily maximum temperature of 35 °C or more (CCKP's hd35, Tmax >= 35 °C). 20-year averages: 1995–2014 from the historical runs; 2020–2039, 2040–2059, 2060–2079 and 2080–2099 under SSP1-2.6, SSP2-4.5 and SSP5-8.5. Projections, not forecasts of any one year.
Unit: days a year with a daily maximum temperature of 35 °C or more (days)

Get the numbers

CSV JSON, with full provenance

Licence: CC BY 4.0 with the World Bank Dataset Terms (free to reuse with credit). Credit: The World Bank: Climate Change Knowledge Portal: Observed Climate Data, ERA5 0.25-Degree (doi:10.57966/128g-6s70): Copernicus Climate Change Service ERA5. The World Bank: Climate Change Knowledge Portal: Projected Climate Data, CMIP6 0.25-Degree (doi:10.57966/b54h-7s87): CMIP6 multi-model ensemble (World Climate Research Programme).

Shared under the World Bank Dataset Terms (CC BY 4.0 with additional terms), including their attribution requirement, which passes to anyone who shares these data further: https://www.worldbank.org/ext/en/legal/terms-conditions/datasets

How to cite

Climate Change Knowledge Portal: Observed Climate Data, ERA5 0.25-Degree, DOI: https://doi.org/10.57966/128g-6s70. Climate Change Knowledge Portal: Projected Climate Data, CMIP6 0.25-Degree. DOI: https://doi.org/10.57966/b54h-7s87 Via Environment Dashboard, https://environmentdashboard.org/data/future/wb-cckp/hot-days-35c-countries (version cmip6-x0.25 hd35 climatology, fetched 2026-10-16, data accessed 2026-10-16).

Sources

Climate Change Knowledge Portal country climate data Report a problem with this number